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老k手记：无心恋战观望浓厚（三）

2016-09-28 15:42:08| 分类：默认分类 | 标签： |举报 |字号大中小订阅

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1、昨天强势反抽后，今天没有再接再厉而仅以高点3000点高开，随后震荡回落报收2987点，运行区间为2984点至3000点，成交量仅1164亿，创地量中的地量；

2、今天没有突出热点，大于1%涨幅的仅多元金融一个版块，且还是因陕国投大涨而拉动。个股红瘦绿肥均跌明显，大于3个点跌幅的仅72家；

3、技术面，昨天预测今天最好站稳3000点，否则对后市不利。从今天收盘2987点来看，节前两天尤其周四不再大跌，能继续小幅震荡就是不错的走势了。因为深市及两板都弱于沪市已经破了低点连线上升趋势线，唯有沪市一直运行在2638点与2807点连线（上图最下面红线）之上。同时，当今重点还受下降连线的支撑，所以稍显强势。故沪市周四强支撑位2965点，如果跌破，将向最后一根救命稻草2950点寻找支撑；

4、后市预测，从今天无量震荡收阴来看，节前还有两个交易日，周四继续抛盘承压概率较大，预计周四仍将继续震荡下行收阴；

5、操作计划：谨慎持仓，一旦破了2950点，注意止损。

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20160928

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